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第515章 番外篇:可以抄底了么(1)(2 / 2)

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自从股指期货和,融资融券,转融通等做空工具陆续在大A股推出后,可以说股市对散户是越来越不友好了,小散别说赚钱,就是解套都越来越难了,以前死拿一只股票,少则几天几个月,多则几年终有解套的哪一天,现在呢?你哪个七八年十多年都难以解套,连公募基金都亏成哪个鸟样,散户,尤其是不懂技术的散户只会亏得更多。而这最重要的一个原因就是规则不公平,对大资金,对很多主力而言,不管涨还是跌都能赚钱,甚至跌能赚的更多,赚的更轻松?谁还会费哪个劲拉升股票?

为什么跌可以赚的更多更轻松,这就是占了规则不对等的缘故。股指期货做空可以赚钱,融券做空赚钱,转融通做空赚钱,而这基本对散户是无缘的,大部分散户够不上做股指期货的资格,想做股指期货没有个几百万是不好做的,资金太少就没法控仓,没法控仓就等于没法容错,一旦失误就可能爆仓。至于融券什么的,小散是基本融不到的。

还有个不公平的规则就是T加一制度,很多散户盘中明明有盈利出货的机会,可因为该死的T加一制度,最后却只能眼看着尾盘跳水而亏钱,笔者真是不明白,都是推出股指期货了,为什么还固守T加一呢?还美其名曰保护投资者,不,保护金融消费者?既然要保护,规则对等是起码的,规则都不对等谈什么保护?

关于营商环境恶化,根本原因其实就是机构臃肿以及老龄化造成对市场的抽血越来越大!

抽成有多高,看看中国彩票,这么大的市场,为什么彩票销量一直上不去,数字彩票实际回报率估计也就30%左右,因为说是说50%的回报率,可大奖交税,留给奖池的大量资金,都把回报率拉下来了。按说一个彩票要多少运营成本呀?除了7%的销售成本是硬支出,发行成本过高,以及抽成过高是根本。

政府对企业的抽成比例近年年也有逐步抬高态势,首先,社保成本已经越来越成为企业的巨大负担,其次用工成本也在持续上升,因为租房等消费成本的上升,企业员工的待遇不到一定标准是难以生活的,而养儿成本教育成本也自然在用工成本之列。这是明的,还有更多的暗的成本,比如各种税费各种罚款等等。

更可怕的是,营商环境恶化似乎有不可逆之势,为什么这么讲?老龄化在加速,这是不争的事实吧,而老龄化最直接的后果就是需要从市场抽血来供养!其次,机构臃肿能一时半会解决么?机构为什么会越来越臃肿,一方面是权力扩张的因素,另一方面是中央集权衰落的缘故,下面的人越来越不好管了,还有一个就是就业的因素,毕竟涉及太多人的饭碗,一旦打破就可能会出乱子。

因为规则的不平等,散户尽量离开这个市场是对的,留恋这个是市场想在这个市场赚大钱是很难的,很多技术高超的十多年的老股民都难以在这个市场赚到钱,更论其它股民?以前阴跌至少也有几个像样的反弹吧,这次5月24号以来的阴跌有像样的反弹么?做空主力连像样的反弹机会都不给你,还怎么赚钱,更何况现在还是低位,大盘才3000点附近,这个位置都没有像样的反弹,对股票还能有什么幻想?

如果真的离不开这个市场,那么就一定要等确定性机会,没有确定性机会宁可错过也不要做错!

那么确定性机会出现了么?请听下回分解!

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