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关于谈判这种话术,谢旻韫到是能够和成默你来我往的聊上一些,毕竟对于谢旻韫这种喜欢辩论的人来说,谈判和辩论有不少相似之处,只是谢旻韫之前全靠着记忆力和智商来碾压对手,但在和成默的交流之后,发现成默最大的优点就是能有条有理的将知识系统化,让逻辑线索更为清晰。

很多东西谢旻韫原来只是知道,并没有在脑子里形成完整的框架和结构,但在和成默交流之后,有种毛塞顿开的恍然大悟感.....

成默和谢旻韫聊的愉快的时候,图书馆管理员突然出现,拿着鸡毛毯子在两个人中间敲了敲桌子,一脸严肃的道:“你们两个,说话声音小点,已经严重影响到其他同学了.....刚才已经有不少人举报你们了,还要肆无忌惮就给我出去.....”

谢旻韫回头看了看一脸皱纹的图书管理员,轻轻的推开椅子,站了起来将书收进背包里,随后挎在肩上,接着有些迫不及待的扯了扯成默宽大的秋季校服的衣袖,“走.....我们去百花湖。”

因为扯成默衣袖的动作是在桌子底下,很容易叫人误解成牵手,此刻看到这幅场景的男生们,心已经碎成了渣,一个个都在心里开始哀嚎:“我的女神居然要和这个豆芽菜去百花湖?艹!那可是情侣才去的地方啊!是那个煞笔举报的!站出来,看我不打死他!”

“为什么会变成这样?是我先的,明明是我先的.....”躲在书架后的始作俑者颜亦童正掐着付远卓的手,满脸都是痛心疾首的表情。

“副作用!你说我要是让成默看我的真面目,他会不会选我....”

付远卓看着成默和谢旻韫从他们不远处走过,深思熟虑了片刻之后,叹息了一声,十分沉重的说道:“我不知道成默会选谁,但我还是会选旻韫学姐....”

“凭什么?”颜亦童一脸怒容的看着付远卓,不过这一次没有踢他。

“要是打扮正常点,论颜值当然和旻韫学姐不相上下.....”

“哼!知道就好。”颜亦童面露不屑。

然而付远卓退后几步和颜亦童拉远距离才笑着说道:“但颜值差不多的情况下,当然选胸大的啊!”

说完付远卓掉头就跑。

“付远卓,你给我站住!”

此时颜亦童脑子里却是:成默如果你也像付远卓这样想,那你一定是想死了!

成默也是男人,他一定也是这样想的!所以,成默一定要死!

不过,得先把付远卓打死。

———————————————————————

注1:幸存者偏差(Survivorship bias)——另译为“生存者偏差”或“存活者偏差”,驳斥的是一种常见的逻辑谬误(“谬误”而不是“偏差”),这个被驳斥的逻辑谬误指的是只能看到经过某种筛选而产生的结果,而没有意识到筛选的过程,因此忽略了被筛选掉的关键信息。这东西的别名有很多,比如“沉默的数据”、“死人不会说话”等等。

幸存者偏差意思是指,当取得资讯的渠道,仅来自于幸存者时(因为死人不会说话),此资讯可能会存在与实际情况不同的偏差。

此规律也适用于金融和商业领域。存活下来的企业往往被视为“传奇”,它们的做法被争相效仿。而其实有些也许只是因为偶然原因幸存下来了而已。

在日常生活中,最明显的例子就是“我亲戚吃这个药好了”或者“我一个朋友去找了这个老中医”等等。不管你的亲戚和朋友和你关系如何好,如何值得信任和尊重,在客观规律面前他们都是等同的。疾病和医药不会因为你的喜好而照顾或者偏袒你的亲朋。

如何应对呢?最明显的办法当然是让“死人”说话。双盲实验设计和详细全面客观的数据纪录都是应对“幸存者偏差”的良方。所谓“兼听则明”也是这个道理,抛掉对个案的迷信,全面系统的了解才能克服这个偏差。

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