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第459章 要不要扛单(2 / 2)

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张万牛道:“今天都是为了宾客满意,我们饱饱眼福,看看热闹就够了,你 小子这么多年也不结婚,是不是挑花眼了,已经成钻石王老五了。”

陆小强道:“待在百花丛中,再让我安心跟一个人过确实受不了,等到那一天我厌倦了,想安定了就再说吧,晚上你还有什么安排么?要不要给你安排点别的节目?”

张万牛道:“晚上我和超大财富的人一起打麻将,,你忙你的去吧,我知道你还有一大帮的人要安排,就别为我浪费时间了。”

陆小强正想说点什么,手机响了,一看是许国瑞的电话就连忙接起来:“许总,你好!”

许国瑞道:“还有几个红包没有派出去,你等他们完事后找个机会送出去。”

陆小强赶紧和张万牛打声招呼就离开了。

张万牛和葛晓兰等来到娱乐室,这里有麻将桌,台球桌,KTV等,张万牛和葛晓兰牛一飞等人打了几圈麻将,期货部的李闻慕名要和张万牛认识一下,张万牛就让王大伟接手麻将和李闻一起边聊边打台球。

李闻道:“万牛兄是证券部门的第一高手,早就想深入交流一下,今天总算有空,不知道兄台对股票未来怎么看?尤其是股指期货要上市后?”

张万牛道:“本人对期货一知半解,只知道期货扛杆较大,扛杆本质上就是助涨助跌吧,股票不加扛杆不会有爆仓风险,但期货会有,所以做期货心理压力比较大吧。”

李闻道:“做期货压力确实很大,但期货有个好处就是基本都是名牌,哪个期货公司持有多少头寸,哪个期货公司多空态度都是明确的,所以主力的意图较好判断,不会有太多的外部干扰因素。”

张万牛道:“期货产品基本只受到供求关系的影响,而且持仓是变化不定的,如果外部干扰太多甚至可以直接不玩,股票要考虑的因素太多了,大盘,大小非,还有各种特发消息。”

李闻道:“所谓的消息面其实都是主力的炒作由头,投资的核心依据还是资金面,不管是期货还是股票都是资金推动性的,没有资金推动就没有行情,投资最大的风险就是筹码无法锁定,期货有点像吹气球,资金参与深的品种就像力气大的人把气球吹的大,没有资金关注的股票就像没力气的人气球的吹的小;股票呢,则像弹簧,资金进来了,弹簧就拉的长,资金出去了弹簧就压的紧,可弹簧的圈数其实没有变化。”

张万牛道:“你这个比喻很形象,股票经过几年的高速IPO,体量已经很大了,系统性的牛市估计难以再来,商品期货则几乎每年都有牛市行情。”

李闻道:“做期货最大的问题就是是否要扛单,有数据统计,期货开仓的90%如果能扛住基本都能盈利出来,可真正能扛得住却不到10%。”

张万牛道:“90%的概率确实挺高,可如果10%的概率是爆仓的话,那么止损还是明智的吧,就如抢劫犯有10%的概率能永不被抓,可一旦抓住就要踩几年甚至几十年的缝纫机。”

李闻道:“所以这是大个问题,亏损的仓位是扛还割肉,我们扛过几次,扛赢了,最后还是赚钱出来了,可有一次,扛了一个多月了,曾经离回本只有三个点都没有出货,想着一定要赚钱出货,可后面越亏越大,本金亏了30%了,实在扛不住了,只好割肉离场。”

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