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第448章 趋势分类(1 / 2)

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黄蓉道:“世界是变化的,价值是波动的,所以所谓的价值就是时间的附体,就本质而言,时间才是决定一切的力量;价格和价值就是及时有效,提前或随后对我们都没有意义,价值投资派无非就是预判未来,可如果未来太长又有什么意义呢?梵高的画在梵高生时一文不值,现在却炒出天价,可这对梵高有什么意义?无非留下一个空名而已!我们活在当下,如果短线能有利润就绝不贪心长线的馅饼。”

韦小宝突然感叹道:“世界本没有路,走的人多了就产生了路!同样的,世界本没有时间,人类为了需要就创造出时间!”

李莫愁道:“时间其实不过是周期的标尺,人类出现以前就已经存在,只是因为人类需要而进行了详细的定义,所以时间并不以人类的意志为转移,甚至可以说时间其实存在,只不过像秦始皇一样,对度量衡进行了定义而已。”

令狐冲道:“李道长刚说到周期,趋势也是讲周期的吧,张教主刚说道趋势的判断和操作,可周期不一样,趋势却不一样如何操作呢?”

赵敏道:“这不早就是讲过么?短期趋势要服从长期趋势呀,如果长期趋势走弱,那么短期趋势再好也不能做呀。”

令狐冲道:“是的,确实讲过,个股要服从大盘,短线要服从中长线,可现在大盘有筑顶的迹象,创业板个股也趋势不明,这时候操作创业板风险依然很大吧。”

张万牛听令狐冲说完后心中一愣,顿时明白今天建仓为什么这么犹豫了,还是没有统一认识呀,还是对大盘对个股有很强的忧虑了,从而产生了抵触心里,可自己冷静想想了,现在的大盘确实面临较大的风险,如果是自己的资金绝对是空仓观望,可因为是老板的资金,为了工作,为了表示每天都在做事,哪怕行情再没把握也要硬着头皮上,这确实让大家有点为难。可怎么办呢?如果真的空仓确实风险最小,但怎么向葛总交代,难道就说行情没把握,整天的空仓观望,这没法交差呀!更何况,空仓到什么时候?什么时候可以建仓?如果真的只做有把握的行情,一年估计做几个月就够了,其它时间光看不懂也不是个事呀。

大家看张万牛不说完就没有发言,赵敏用手碰了下张万牛道:“想什么呢?”

张万牛看了一圈道:“人类高于动物的地方就是贮存和分类,当然很多动物也会贮存,但是不是系统的,不像人类这样能系统性的贮存;而股票操作就要充分利用贮存和分类的功能,贮存什么?贮存筹码和资金,这就叫仓位管理,也叫资金管理,分类什么?关键是趋势分类。分类的工作其实就量化的过程,从而决定什么样的行情可以做,什么样的行情不能做。”

张万牛歇口气接着说道:“聪明资金其实只做两种行情,一种是长线看涨行情,一种是中线看涨行情;长线看好行情简单点说就是周线月线看涨行情,用在均线上看就是股价在二十日线,六十日线甚至半年线以上的行情,这种行情确实比较有把握,但机会太少了,几年才有一次;这对于专业的交易员来讲是不现实的,如果都只做长线看涨行情,那么这么多基金从业者是不是都要失业?那么多专业股民是不是都要破产?长线看涨行情谁都想做,可他是可遇不可求的,一个人一生也碰不到几次,像0607年那样的大行情可能一辈子也就两三次,可我们耗得起么,等的起么?人的生命是短暂的,如果碰到这样的好机会,当然是万幸,如果没有难道就不赚钱不发财了?”

张万牛停顿了一下接着说道:“有把握的机会总是有限的,错过了就很难再来,于是有一定风险的行情才是常态;这个有一定风险的行情就是中线行情,简单点就是日线级别的行情,也就是中线反弹行情,在大盘每年都有几次中线反弹行情,在个股则几乎每天都有;中线看涨行情机会很多,就算是熊市也有个股是走中线上涨的;比如我选的十几只创业板股票基本都是中线看涨的;对于这些中线看涨的个股,我的操作思路是这样的,大盘不太理想的情况下,就轻仓操作,最高仓位控制在30%;一般就用百分之十到百分之二十的资金去操作。”

杨过道: “张教主这么一解释,我们就心里有数了,明天就按照张教主的思路大胆干吧。”

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