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第383章 经济发展趋势(1 / 2)

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吴新欣是个四十开外的微胖男人,张万牛和他约在杨鑫推荐的一个高端会所,里面有一条龙服务,吃饭喝茶娱乐应用尽有。

五点不到张万牛来到约定的包房,吴新欣竟然先到了,连忙打招呼到:“吴总辛苦了,从浦东大老远赶过来,还这么早。”

吴新欣道:“浦东的服务业还是不如浦西呀,最大的问题就是没有人气,你看浦西哪个热闹,哪个气氛;我住在浦西,算是顺路吧,今天没什么事就早点过来,张总精神状态很好啊,看来生意不错啊。”

张万牛叹气道:“现在的生意一言难尽呀,看起来销售额不小,可就是不见利润;和前几年相比真是没法比,太卷了,都在拼价格,而我这个二道贩子又没有好的货源。”

吴新欣道:“现在哪个行业都很卷,随着科技的大发展,信息越来越透明,以前那种暴利已经没有可能了,而技术创新也到了瓶颈期,工业革命,科技革命遥遥无期,所以在没有大的工业革命之前,卷将会常态化持久化。”

张万牛道:“财富越来越集中,资源越来越集中,产品差异性越来越小,产品同质化越来越严重,可经营成本却越来越高,中小企业,个体户都将面临经营困难,现在我们公司就面临着两难选择,是进还是退。”

吴新欣道:“人在江湖身不由己,企业一旦开始了,想退就难了,你上次说你们公司的销售额已经差不多有五千多万吧,你想想五千万生意,要做库存吧,有外账吧,还有员工办公室吧,哪一项不要钱来打发,光库存应收账款就有上千万吧,这么多库存,应收账款是一时可以了结的,压了这么多资金是想放弃就放弃的?”

张万牛道:“我也深知不可能退呀,可进呢?还要投入大量资金,大量人力,未来又有太多不确定性,确实没有把握呀,生怕越陷越深呀,现在确实是进退两难呀。”

吴新欣道:“看欧美日韩的发展趋势,工业农业集中化是越来越明显,规模化集约化是不可避免地,未来的发展方向必然是服务业;可单纯地商品服务业也有标准化集中化趋势,因为都到网上采购么?网上产品大都是标准化产品,那么标准化地产品除了拼价格还是拼价格;服务?标准化产品需要什么服务?因此,商业也将进入死胡同,最后都是拼成本拼规模,而中小企业怎么拼的过大企业?”

张万牛道:“吴总所言甚是啊,在经济大环境面前,在历史趋势面前,任何人都是无能无力的,既然工商业未来如此不妙,以吴总所见,哪行业比较有前途?

吴新欣道:“这个世界永远走不脱价值发现价值重估价值回归的过程,经过几十年的折腾,现在人终于发现最有价值的还是权力和土地,中国五千年的历史斗来斗去为的什么?还不是权力和土地,而要获得权力和土地最关键的是控制人,将人控制住了就什么都有了,而如何控制人呢?最有效的办法是什么?其实就是最俗的东西,就是一直打压却长久不衰的黄赌毒;其实所有人都生活在黄赌毒的边缘,无非是合法非法而已。”

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