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第356章 五月均线由支撑线变为压力线(1 / 2)

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张万牛将文件认真看了一遍道:“总体很不错,具体要不要改,改那些我再好好想想,现在我们的思路基本统一了,中小企业要成长,要做大主要就几个方面,一是认清形势,二是制定合适的规则,三是分好蛋糕,四就是执行了,哪一个环节没做好都有可能面临极大风险。”

阿紫道:“你的思路是对的,就从这几个方面着手吧,节后我们首先要和姗姗好好谈谈,让她顾全大局放弃一些权利和责任。”

张万牛道:“欧阳姗姗确实是个关键环节,这个环节打通了,后面就顺畅多了,你先和她谈还是我直接找她谈。”

阿紫道:“你直接和她谈吧,她对你还是比较信服的,对我好像不是很感冒。”

张万牛道:“好吧,我找她谈吧,我好好想想措辞。”

2008年1月2日,星期三;新的一年算正式开始了,工作,股市都开始运行;张万牛到公司后先看了一下财经消息,没有什么引人注目的消息;看完消息开始研究股市走势。大盘年前最后一个交易日收了一根小阴线,但上证指数还在五日线之上,可五日线明显有走平趋势,五日线走平就说明大盘涨速放缓甚至涨不动了,大盘涨不动就有可能发生两种状况,一种是蓄势待涨,一种是拐头向下。哪种可能更大呢?

从上证指数月线上看,去年12月上证指数虽然上涨8%,但并没有站稳五月均线,上证指数只是靠近而没有站稳五月均线,这意味着什么?2007年11月份上证指数彻底跌破了五月均线,是一次有效跌破,如果连续上涨趋势中某一个月有效跌破某个重要均线,是可以理解于假摔的,而假摔是个绝好的接货机会。但12月没有站稳五月均线,那就意味着两个月都没有站稳五月均线,两个月都没有站稳五月均线,11月份的假摔就不成立了,五月均线就由支撑线变为压力线了。

现在的问题是,五月均线虽然由支撑线变为压力线,但五月均线并没有拐头向下,既然五月均线保持向上趋势没有拐头向下,那么按照惯性,大盘理应还要往上冲一冲。会冲到哪里呢?

会冲破6124么?这种可能性极小,如果冲破6124,那么牛市还将继续,大盘接下来还有新高,8000点或者点也就不是梦了;可在政府银根紧缩,新股不断发行的大背景下,怎么可能让股市继续疯下去?政策面不支持,技术面也不支持;大盘再创新高的可能性不大。因此,2007年12月份大盘指数没有站稳五月均线就说明了牛市已经结束了,6124就是这波牛市的铁顶了。

顶部既然已经确认,下面的操作就简单了,就只能博反弹了,既然五月均线还保持向上的态势,那么这个月按照惯性是要冲一冲的,但本月指数收盘点位必然会在五月均线下方,而且极有可能会跌破前期低点4778.

大方向既然已经定下,个股还要不要做?大盘可能会有几个交易日的反弹周期,让五月均线形成一个上影线,但确实不好把握,极有可能一个暴跌就将几天的收益化于乌有。

再看郑州煤电,该股上个交易日跌破五日线,但该股还是均线多头排列态势,这是近一个月来第一次有效跌破五日线,第一次跌破是大有可能假摔的,假摔就是合适的接货机会,既然如此,该股短线还是可以做一把的。

恒源煤电近期涨幅有点大,均线排列也不规整,该股应该有波短线调整,应该在该股短线调整结束后方可考虑介入为妥。

开盘后,郑州煤电低开后就快速拉升,股价冲到16.22后迅速回落,然后在黄线附近上下波动,张万牛看黄线已经走平,波动的低点不再创新低,感觉调整已经结束,随即以15.95的价格买入股,阿紫的账户以15.96的价格买入股。

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