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第204章 缠论学习之四:神奇之吻(1 / 2)

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周末一晃即逝,周日晚张万牛安顿好阿紫和小孩休息后开始研究股票。看时间还早就先学习缠论。反复再看缠中说禅的博客---不会吻,无以高潮这篇大作,张万牛不由得大喜过望,这篇博文将股票走势与男女情事用轻松诙谐的语气概括的惟妙惟肖。用吻来形容均线的关系问题可谓妙到巅峰。

吻有三种,一种是飞吻,男女之间没有实际的接触,只是意思到了,心意表达一下。唇吻,浅尝辄止的接触,可能是礼节性的,并没有更多的缠绕。湿吻,反复缠绕,如胶似漆。用吻来形容均线交叉,飞吻就是短期均线稍微靠近长期均线,但没有和长期均线实际接触就继续沿着短期均线的趋势继续走下去。唇吻就是短期均线靠近长期均线并有一定的接触,但不会实际跌破或升破长期均线。湿吻就是短期均线和长期均线反复纠缠,不是一会儿短期均线在上面,就是一会儿长期均线在上面,两者一时还无法确定谁占上风。

飞吻的行情出现的少,如长期停牌复牌后连续涨停的票就是飞吻行情,这种股票五日线远离十日线,偶尔短线调整靠近十日线后又快速起飞。这种走势是非常强势的走法,但暴雨不终朝,这种特别强势的走法终究不能持续太久,这种强势的股票概率也极低,这就好比一个普通人突然开了外挂一样一飞冲天,因此很多人形容他为妖股。反之,连续跌停的股票也是飞吻行情,这种股票就是明显的雷股了,连续跌停,想割肉都难。

唇吻的股票多半出现在起势的股中,就像前面的有色,现在的万科A浦发银行都是这样的走法,五日线回踩一下十日线就可能继续上行,而这就是所谓的牛股,也即单边上涨的股票。与牛股对应的是熊股,就是单边下跌的股票。

湿吻的股票就太常见了,除了妖股牛股雷股熊股之外基本都是走的湿吻行情,其中多数是横盘墨迹股,还有部分慢牛股,慢熊股。

但任何行情的转折都有湿吻过程,其实也就是充分洗盘的过程,一个股票没有充分洗盘是不会有大涨大跌行情的,反复洗盘之后才会选择方向。

看完博客,张万牛开始研究当下行情,为明天的操作做计划。

大盘上周五大跌近三个点,一下就跌破五日线十日线,明天将考验二十日线的支撑。如果回踩二十日线将是极好的买点,对,明天是个极好的介入机会。

为何敢如此判断?大盘日线的均线体系还是很完美的,半年线,六十日线,三十日线,二十日线都是向上呈多头排列。长线趋势看好,短线的适度退防太正常了,不正是买入的机会么?更关键的是,当下的大盘是属于唇吻走牛行情,五日线几乎都在十日线之上,每次五日线欲唇吻十日线时指数都会快速拉上去,这就是属于明显的牛市行情了。所以,每次指数回踩二十日线都是买入机会。

大盘短线调整接近尾声,个股就也差不多了;万科A上周五跌破十日线,明天如果回踩二十线将是极佳的买入机会。所以明天如果低开或平开就可以大胆加仓。万科A的走势也是唇吻行情,五日线每当要靠近十日线时都会快速拉起来,而不会亲密接触;对这种牛股,每当回踩二十线就是绝佳买点。

浦发银行和万科A类似,也是跌破十日线,明天回踩二十线将是好机会。而且也是万科A一样是唇吻行情。

看完持仓股,张万牛再翻看了一遍自选股,中金岭南虽然很活跃,股价也涨的很快,却明显的是湿吻行情,湿吻行情当然可以做,可如果有明显的唇吻行情股票可以做,何必去做湿吻行情股票呢?何况中金岭南五日线都拐头向下了,现在短线趋势也不明朗,更不是介入的好机会。

翻看了其它的自选股,发现中信证券和万科走势类似,也是可以介入的好股,也要重点关注。所以,明天的计划就是加仓,万科,浦发银行,中信证券都是标的。

2006年12月11日,星期一。

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