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第213章 缠论学习之七:走势终完美(1 / 2)

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收盘后,张万牛开始复盘。大盘今天低开高走收了一个小阳线,虽然站稳了五日线,可给人感觉是后劲不足,尾盘的拉升不但勉强还出现了滞涨,张万牛判断大盘短线调整越来越近,是时候控制仓位了。

但大盘将调整到哪里呢?前期调整基本都是二十日线和十日线之间,而且就是回踩十日线多半都是金针探底模式,并不过多纠缠给空头太多机会,因此上证指数靠近十日线时基本就是短线调整结束的信号。

万科A今天的大涨使得股价远离五日线了,对于股价远离五日线的股票就要关注冲高回落短线卖出机会,当然如果大幅低开靠近五日线则是加仓机会,通过横盘几天靠近五日线也是加仓机会,但不管如何,对于五日线上行斜率较高的股票就是按照五日线支撑买入法进行操作。

为什么要强调五日线向上且斜率较高?因为五日线向上且斜率较高是多头发起全面攻势的标志。

就像美国攻打伊拉克,海陆空三军全部摆上了阵地向前推进,是要讲究攻击成果和攻击效率的,你要知道打仗打的就是钱,多打一天就浪费不少银子,所以能快速结束战斗肯定希望快速解决;因而攻占面积和进攻时间就构成了一个较高的斜率。

攻方每进攻几天,肯定要有所收获比如占领新的阵地,这对后面跟进的部队是个鼓舞,如果不能占领新的阵地反而失去所占的阵地,那肯定会影响士气。这就好比上升趋势的股票每几天都要创个新高,创了新高就等于攻占了新的阵地;攻占新的阵地后是有必要巩固一下阵型的,但巩固阵型也是有限度的,不能让出核心防区,就如股票的二十日线,一旦让出核心防区就有崩盘的风险,肥水之战,苻坚轻易让出阵地就导致了兵败如山倒。

因此,多头上升趋势一旦形成,五日线支撑买入法是比较可靠的,向上且斜率较高的五日线失守大概率是多头诱敌深入,对空头聚而歼之;一般可判定是明显的假摔。所以,股价靠近或在五日线以下都是买入的机会。

浦发银行五日线走平是多头进攻受阻的标志,前方攻击受阻,攻方肯定要回退到安全区域固防然后再伺机进攻;会退到哪里呢?近三个月内,二十线没有被攻克过,那么二十线就是稳固的防线了,这是多头必守的防线,这个防线一旦失守,近几个月的攻势就全功尽废了。

主力货还没派发呢,会轻易放弃重要据点么?不可能的,除非发生了不可抗的事情。因此耐心等待股价回踩二十线跟着主力吃肉就好了。

中信证券五日线也有走平迹象,该股近一个多月的支撑线都是十日线,那么耐心等到股价回踩十日线时进仓就好了。

复完盘,张万牛又打开缠中说缠的博客,看到缠中说禅新写的博客,走势终完美。

一只股票无非就是上涨,下跌,盘整;而上涨和下跌可以看成单边趋势,盘整就是磨牙行情;而如何判定是趋势还是盘整行情呢?缠中说禅创造了中枢这个概念。

一千个读者就有一千个哈姆雷特,对中枢这个概念也是各有各的看法;张万牛是这样认为的,所谓的中枢就是交易密集区的股票均价;盘整行情,某个区域内股票均价非常接近,因而可以判定只有一个中枢;而上涨或下跌行情,某个区域内的股票均价是呈阶梯上升或下跌的,因而就构成了不同的中枢。

对于上升趋势的股票,其中枢是不断上移的,其实也可以理解为交易密集区股票均价的不断上移,就像人爬楼梯一样,重心在不断上移。反之,下跌趋势就是股票重心不断下移。

走势终完美又该怎么理解呢?张万牛是这样想的,任何股票在某一区间的走势都将由盘整和趋势两种形态组成,两种形态的一种走完后就会进入下一个形态。

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