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第135章 你想烧脑吗?量子力学!(2 / 2)

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我努力跟上校长的思路,问道:“那根据这个理论能得出什么结论呢?”

校长回答道:

“根据理论,可以得出一些结论。第一,每一个激发态里面的跃迁的能级线都是连续性的,如果跃迁发生了间隔能级线,那么在上涨形态上要发生激态变异。

比如某个激发态从能级线 0 跃迁到能级线 5,前面从能级线 0 到能级线 3 是连续的,但是后面跃迁到能级线 5 的时候间隔了能级线 4,这样就是不连续,要发生变异。第二,发生变异后,股票回调到相邻的能级线上面蓄能。

这个时候起支撑作用的那根能级线为蓄能线,只要不有效跌破蓄能线,就会在某个时候发生下一个激发状态。第三,在一轮完整的上涨过程中,只容许一次跌破曲线线,可以是跌破第一根趋势线,也可以是跌破第二根趋势线。

如果第二次发生跌破趋势线,那就不能在蓄能线上面再次蓄能,而是要发生跃迁的逆过程:衰变,将会从激发态变成束缚态,从中向外释放能量。股票上面表现为转势下跌,结束这一轮的上涨。”

我听完后,陷入了沉思,心中依然充满了疑惑和困惑,这一切真的是太复杂了,不知道什么时候才能真正理解这些深奥的理论。

我:“校长,您能用MACD来解释下吗?因为您说的理论实在太烧脑,我快吃不消,能不能讲些我财经人能懂的?”

校长微笑着回答:

“好呀,MACD 称为指数平滑移动平均线,是从双指数移动平均线发展而来的,由快线 DIF、慢线 DEA、MACD 柱和 0 轴组成的一个重要分析指标。

快的指数移动平均线(EMA12)减去慢的指数移动平均线(EMA26)得到快线 DIF,再用 2×(快线 DIF - DIF 的 9 日加权移动均线 DEA)得到 MACD 柱。

MACD 的意义和双移动平均线基本相同,即由快、慢均线的离散、聚合表征当前的多空状态和股价可能的发展变化趋势,但使用起来更方便。”

我努力理解着校长的话,心中暗自感叹:“真的是好烧脑啊!这些解读公式的专业术语也让人头大。”

我接着问道:“校长,那 您认为MACD 背离是怎么回事呢?”

校长耐心地解释道:

“MACD 背离有顶背离和底背离。股价和 MACD 都是呈波浪态朝前推进,当股价一波比一波低,而 MACD 一波比一波高,就是底背离状态,反之为顶背离状态。

底背离在 MACD 上面有两种背离形态,也就是说两种聚能方式:一种是快线 DIF 背离,这个是快线聚能;另一种是 MACD 柱背离,这个是 CD 柱聚能。”

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