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第48章 失败浪与延伸浪(1 / 2)

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我的疑惑还没有完全解决,最后还有个大疑问,就是关于失败浪,和延伸浪?

“断浪老师,我还有个大疑问一直困扰着我。” 我急切地说道,“究竟怎么判断一个浪是失败浪,或者延伸浪呢?上课时我真的还没搞明白。”

断浪老师看着我那充满求知欲的眼神,微笑着开始耐心地讲解起来。

“常长婷啊,判断失败浪呢,首先你要观察价格的走势是否符合我们预期的波浪形态。

比如说,在一个推动浪的结构中,按照正常的规律,第三浪应该是最具爆发力的一浪,但是如果第三浪没有能够突破第一浪的高点,反而在接近第一浪高点的时候就开始回调,那么这就有可能是一个失败的第三浪。”

老师顿了顿,继续说道:

“我们再来看一个实际的例子,就像在股票市场中,如果一只股票在上涨过程中,形成了一个看似是推动浪的形态,但是其中的某一浪在上涨过程中成交量极度萎缩,而且价格上涨的幅度远远小于其他正常的浪,那么这一浪就可能是一个失败浪的信号。你需要仔细观察价格的变化、成交量的情况以及市场的整体氛围等多个因素来综合判断。”

接着,老师又开始讲解延伸浪。“而延伸浪呢,通常具有一些独特的特征。一般来说,延伸浪会出现在推动浪中的某一浪中,并且这一浪的价格走势会比其他浪更加复杂和持久。比如说,在一个五浪结构的推动浪中,第五浪有可能会出现延伸。你会发现第五浪的价格波动幅度非常大,而且持续的时间也比较长,远远超过了正常的一浪的时间和幅度。”

“我们拿外汇市场举例吧,在某一种货币对的走势中,如果在一个上涨的推动浪中,第三浪已经表现得非常强劲了,但是第四浪回调之后,第五浪却出现了超乎寻常的大幅上涨,并且伴随着成交量的急剧放大,那么这很可能就是一个第五浪的延伸。在判断延伸浪的时候,我们也要结合技术指标来看,比如移动平均线、相对强弱指标等。如果这些指标在某一浪中出现了异常的表现,也可以作为判断延伸浪的参考依据。”

我全神贯注地听着老师的讲解,手中的笔不停地记录着关键的知识点,脑海中也在不断地思考着老师所举的那些例子,试图将这些抽象的知识与实际的市场情况联系起来。

这样吧,为了让你更好更系统地学习,我这里这份祖传的课件,你也复印吧:

“哇塞,老师你真是好人啊!你对人人都这么好吗?”

“呃!也不是啦,主要看投不投缘吧。”

我定眼看着老师的课件记录,果然很系统:

一、失败浪

1. 价格形态

观察价格走势是否未能达到预期的目标位。在推动浪中,通常可以根据波浪理论的比例关系预测各浪的目标位。如果第五浪未能突破第三浪的高点,或者下跌推动浪中的第五浪未能跌破第三浪的低点,就可能是失败浪的信号。

- 注意价格在关键位置的表现,如重要阻力位或支撑位。如果价格在接近这些位置时出现犹豫、反转或无法有效突破,可能暗示着失败浪的形成。

2. 技术指标

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